Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 9.985944 11.037887 12.165340 13.465543 14.926017 16.518568 18.390273
2025-09-28 8.233329 9.654625 11.283310 13.295621 15.725897 18.579600 22.203932
2025-10-05 7.246780 8.943623 11.004845 13.712066 17.202088 21.587531 27.574884
2025-10-12 6.470474 8.349386 10.751608 14.083056 18.638424 24.729261 33.624776
2025-10-19 5.748368 7.709088 10.330091 14.143475 19.639434 27.412682 39.491104
2025-10-26 5.108484 7.085269 9.833063 14.004639 20.307364 29.688481 45.121981
2025-11-02 4.570602 6.531191 9.353079 13.804364 20.824616 31.775879 50.777475
2025-11-09 4.115748 6.040561 8.899209 13.568067 21.226944 33.705300 56.464744
2025-11-16 3.748118 5.637398 8.525406 13.396863 21.687719 35.761978 62.686532
2025-11-23 3.453305 5.313725 8.235316 13.315376 22.268613 38.076902 69.748815
2025-11-30 3.274328 5.153526 8.184875 13.618800 23.539940 41.774153 80.089812
2025-12-07 3.038385 4.876651 7.911897 13.499688 24.024161 44.069146 88.032315
2025-12-14 2.792891 4.566808 7.561664 13.217920 24.196642 45.845778 95.370958
2025-12-21 2.602105 4.333492 7.321453 13.109945 24.688560 48.334380 104.799771
2025-12-28 2.512996 4.269067 7.372939 13.555716 26.340420 53.486384 121.515554
2026-01-04 2.422197 4.192907 7.394496 13.943874 27.926415 58.760284 139.782791
2026-01-11 2.297845 4.044396 7.266600 14.016706 28.848062 62.694979 155.584711
2026-01-18 2.160230 3.859618 7.052426 13.886952 29.303594 65.615127 169.378182
2026-01-25 2.027836 3.674109 6.820266 13.693055 29.585993 68.162094 182.761475
2026-02-01 1.903098 3.493723 6.582708 13.461514 29.748908 70.437704 195.936624
2026-02-08 1.795575 3.338950 6.383671 13.293350 30.041044 73.097117 211.000940
2026-02-15 1.705482 3.212115 6.231211 13.213467 30.539498 76.393131 229.017626
2026-02-22 1.657626 3.166764 6.244325 13.514790 32.042179 82.722583 259.047774